Tim, it's possible, but if we should lose a close game to Miami after losing a close game to #2 (AP) BYU, and we land in the top 12, we'd still get a bid according to the ND-related rule change. Still a long way to go.
Well statistics just show that we could have won , but they don't reflect that BYU made the plays that won the game. Corrupt/incompetent B12 officials aside.