I have a few examples: 1) #9 LSU is favored by 2 points over #5 Florida and the game is in Florida. 2) Unranked Texas Tech is favored at home by 4 over #23 Missouri. 3) #13 Tennessee is favored by 2.5 on the road against #10 Georgia. 4) #16 California is favored at home by 5.5 over #11 Oregon. Take away the 3 points usually given for home field advantage and: #9 is favored by 5 points over #5 Unranked is favored by 1 over #23 #13 is favored by 5.5 over #10 #16 is favored by 2.5 over #11 Tell me what I am missing here!
People who vote in these polls are bankrupt morally, they vote allegiances, their favorites, regional ties, they have grudges,etc.. Gamblers have no heart, don't care if you are their alma mater, don't care if their wife went there, don't care if they don't like St. Bobbah, etc. Theirs is a pure money game, they calls them like they see them.
Tom, It is obvious that you don't have a clue and I would explain it to you but you wouldn't understand it if I did so I won't waste your time and mine. :wink: Seriously, one of the key factors in the polls is when you lose. If you lose 2 games early you may very well pass the teams that beat you if they lose the last game of the season. THIS IS WHY WE NEED A 16 TEAM PLAYOFF!!!! Whew, I feel better now.
If they were in anyway connected with reality, than Ga. Tech who ripped Va. Tech on the road last week would be ranked ahead of them. But they're not!!!
LSU has dominated consistently every week except for the hotly contested and somewhat debated loss to a very highly regarded Aub team on the road. Do their wins compare to Florida's wins is the question. UF has some issues still on offense and the bookies know that bettors know that and that also LSU seems to be dominant on defense. The money flow is what dictates the spread so when UF started out a one point favorite the money obviously was dumped on LSU. Vegas only wants an even spread of money and that point is always where the line will be set. I am very, very good personally at setting spreads because my pre-line guesses are usually very close to the actual spread but that doesn't mean I am good at betting those spreads unfortunately.
Guys don't forget that the betting line is NOT necessarily a reflection of who the bookies think will win, but a number selected to equalize the betting money 50/50. Those are VERY different animals...